Where the market is wrong on Boluspor v Mardin 1969
Boluspor meet Mardin 1969 in the 1. Lig regular season - 3 at Bolu Atatürk Stadium, Bolu.
Mardin 1969 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1637 to 1400. Recent form leans Mardin 1969, 68% against 25%. Attacking output favors Mardin 1969 on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Mardin 1969 at 76%; double chance reads Boluspor or draw 45%, Mardin 1969 or draw 83%.
Boluspor arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Mardin 1969, L 0-2 @ Batman Petrolspor, L 1-2 v Manisa F.K., W 3-1 v Serik Spor.
Mardin 1969 are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Boluspor, W 2-0 v Antalyaspor, D 0-0 @ Ümraniyespor, L 0-1 @ Eyüpspor.
Mardin 1969 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Boluspor 0-3 Mardin 1969.
The market prices BOL at 16% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
