Where the market is wrong on SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v Verl
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach meet Verl in the 3. Liga regular season - 6 at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Verl, D 2-2 @ Havelse, W 1-0 v Hoffenheim II, L 0-2 v FC Ingolstadt 04.
Verl are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, W 2-1 v SV Meppen, W 1-0 @ Waldhof Mannheim, L 1-2 v Fortuna Köln.
The market prices SG at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output