Where the market is wrong on Fiorentina W v Ternana W
Fiorentina W meet Ternana W in the Serie A Cup Women group stage - 2 at Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, Bagno a Ripoli.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fiorentina W, 50% against 30%. Attacking output favors Fiorentina W on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.7 per match.
Fiorentina W arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Ternana W, L 1-2 v Sassuolo W, W 2-1 v Lazio W, W 3-2 @ Genoa W.
Ternana W are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Fiorentina W, L 0-2 v Roma W, W 1-0 v AC Milan W, L 0-2 @ Lazio W.
Fiorentina W hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fiorentina W 3-1 Ternana W.
The market prices FIO at 65% implied. Our number sits apart on Ternana W: a 12.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output