Mutschellen v Winkeln St. Gallen: the model read
Mutschellen meet Winkeln St. Gallen in the Schweizer Cup round of 64. The model makes Mutschellen the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% MUT, 27% draw, 23% WIN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mutschellen, 20% against 0%. Attacking output favors Mutschellen on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans Mutschellen at 69%; double chance reads Mutschellen or draw 77%, Winkeln St. Gallen or draw 49%.
Mutschellen arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 11 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Grenchen, D 3-3 v Liestal, W 4-2 @ Binningen, D 1-1 v Muttenz.
Winkeln St. Gallen are out of sorts: 0W-0D-2L from their last five (0/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 v FC Luzern, L 1-7 v Concordia Basel.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
