Sundby v Hørsholm-Usserød: the model read
Sundby meet Hørsholm-Usserød in the 3. Division regular season - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sundby, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Sundby on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 82%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans Sundby at 57%; double chance reads Sundby or draw 68%, Hørsholm-Usserød or draw 59%.
Sundby arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Frederikssund, D 4-4 v Hørsholm-Usserød, L 1-2 @ Holbæk B&I, L 1-3 @ Brønshøj.
Hørsholm-Usserød are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ FC Helsingor, D 4-4 @ Sundby, W 2-0 v Ishøj, W 2-0 @ Føroyar.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sundby 4-4 Hørsholm-Usserød.
The market prices SUN at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
