Where the market is wrong on Vizela v Felgueiras 1932
Vizela meet Felgueiras 1932 in the Segunda Liga regular season - 5 at Estádio do FC Vizela, Vizela.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Felgueiras 1932, 58% against 42%. Attacking output favors Felgueiras 1932 on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.7 per match.
Vizela arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Felgueiras 1932, W 3-0 @ Torreense, D 0-0 v Amarante, L 0-2 @ Portimonense.
Felgueiras 1932 are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Vizela, W 2-1 v Chaves, D 1-1 @ Farense, D 1-1 v AVS.
The market prices VIZ at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Felgueiras 1932: a 12.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
