Where the market is wrong on Cambrian & Clydach v Penybont
Cambrian & Clydach meet Penybont in the Premier League regular season - 6.
Cambrian & Clydach rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1432. Recent form leans Cambrian & Clydach, 78% against 39%. Attacking output favors Cambrian & Clydach on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Cambrian & Clydach at 72%; double chance reads Cambrian & Clydach or draw 80%, Penybont or draw 48%.
Cambrian & Clydach arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ GAP Connah S Quay FC, W 3-0 @ Haverfordwest County AFC, W 1-0 v Flint Town United, D 1-1 v Briton Ferry.
Penybont are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Flint Town United, W 2-1 v Llandudno, W 3-0 @ Haverfordwest County AFC, W 2-1 @ Caernarfon Town.
Penybont hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Cambrian & Clydach 1-3 Penybont.
The market prices CAM at 24% implied. Our number sits apart on Cambrian & Clydach: a 27.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 86 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
