Where the market is wrong on HIK v Middelfart
HIK meet Middelfart in the 2. Division regular season - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Middelfart, 48% against 33%. Attacking output favors Middelfart on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
HIK arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Middelfart, W 4-1 @ NB Bornholm, L 0-3 @ B 93, W 2-1 v FA 2000.
Middelfart are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ HIK, W 1-0 @ OKS, L 2-3 v Nykobing FC, D 1-1 @ Roskilde.
Middelfart hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: HIK 1-2 Middelfart.
The market prices HIK at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on HIK: a 5.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
