Alverca v Arouca: the model read
Alverca meet Arouca in the Primeira Liga regular season - 9 at FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1509 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors Arouca on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Alverca arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Santa Clara, L 1-3 @ Sporting CP, D 2-2 v Estrela, L 0-2 @ FC Porto.
Arouca are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Maritimo, L 0-2 @ FC Porto, W 4-0 v Moreirense, W 1-0 @ Vitória SC.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alverca 2-1 Arouca.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
