Where the market is wrong on Academico Viseu v FC Porto
Academico Viseu meet FC Porto in the Primeira Liga regular season - 4 at Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, Viseu.
FC Porto rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1500. Recent form leans FC Porto, 78% against 50%. Attacking output favors FC Porto on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Academico Viseu arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v FC Porto, D 2-2 @ Maritimo, L 0-1 v Santa Clara, D 2-2 @ Benfica.
FC Porto are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 10 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Academico Viseu, W 2-0 v Arouca, W 2-0 @ Rio Ave, W 2-0 v Alverca.
FC Porto hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Academico Viseu 0-3 FC Porto.
The market prices ACA at 9% implied. Our number sits apart on Academico Viseu: a 16.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
