Casa Pia v Benfica: the model read
Casa Pia meet Benfica in the Primeira Liga regular season - 2 at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior.
Benfica rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1400. Recent form leans Benfica, 78% against 30%. Attacking output favors Benfica on expected goals, 2.9 to 0.6 per match.
Casa Pia arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Moreirense, L 0-2 @ GIL Vicente, L 0-7 v Benfica, L 0-1 @ Maritimo.
Benfica are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 16 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Estoril, W 3-1 @ Aarhus, W 3-1 v Aarhus, W 7-0 @ Casa Pia.
Benfica hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Casa Pia 0-7 Benfica.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
