Vitória SC v Arouca: the model read
Vitória SC meet Arouca in the Primeira Liga regular season - 1 at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes.
The baseline ratings are close, 1582 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 59% against 53%. Attacking output favors Vitória SC on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Vitória SC arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ SC Braga, W 1-0 v Nacional, L 2-3 @ Sporting CP, L 0-1 v Arouca.
Arouca are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Maritimo, L 0-2 @ FC Porto, W 4-0 v Moreirense, W 1-0 @ Vitória SC.
Arouca hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vitória SC 0-1 Arouca.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
