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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3 · Germany

FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt

· Mewa Arena, Mainz

معاينة المباراة

The Bundesliga season is only two matches old, but the early narrative at the Mewa Arena is one of starkly contrasting fortunes. FSV Mainz 05, under U. Fischer, have taken four points from their opening two league games without conceding a goal. A commanding 5-0 victory away at Hamburger SV was followed by a goalless draw at home to SC Paderborn 07, setting up this first home derby of the campaign as a genuine test of their solid start.

Mainz’s pre-season form suggested a side finding its rhythm, with comfortable friendly wins over Paris FC and Bournemouth either side of a 3-3 draw with Udinese, and they carried that momentum into the DFB-Pokal with a 9-0 rout of lower-league Krieschow. Their start has been built on defensive organisation and attacking efficiency, yet the goalless draw with Paderborn will remind Fischer that converting control into goals remains a work in progress.

Eintracht Frankfurt arrive in Mainz with a more turbulent recent history. Adi Hutter’s side opened their league account with a 3-3 draw at Union Berlin, a result that spoke of both attacking intent and defensive fragility. That fragility was exposed severely in their latest outing, a 4-1 home defeat to FC Augsburg that leaves them with a single point and a need to correct course quickly. Their cup run began with an 11-0 dismantling of SC St. Tönis, yet the memory of a 7-0 friendly loss to Brentford lingers as evidence of how vulnerable they can be when pressed.

The head-to-head record between these two clubs is not available in the data, leaving the recent form of each side as the primary guide. Frankfurt’s away days have been particularly difficult, with their only competitive away result this season being the draw in Berlin and the heavy defeat in the Brentford friendly. Mainz, by contrast, have shown they can win on the road in the league but are still seeking their first home victory of the season in front of their own supporters.

What this fixture lacks in historical context it makes up for in present urgency. Mainz will aim to protect their unbeaten league record and establish the Mewa Arena as a fortress, while Frankfurt will be determined to respond to their Augsburg setback and avoid slipping further behind the early pace. The early September kickoff offers a fresh start after the international break, and the Rhineland rivalry, though not statistically documented here, carries its own weight in regional pride.

Both coaches will demand sharper finishing and sturdier defending, but the outcome remains entirely open. The scene is set for an intriguing afternoon in Mainz, where a compact home side meeting a wounded away team often produces a contest of fine margins and high tension.

تحليل المباراةموجز ما قبل المباراة

FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt: the model read

FSV Mainz 05 meet Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga regular season - 3 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.

The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FSV Mainz 05, 73% against 57%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 3.3 to 2.8 per match.

FSV Mainz 05 arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 20 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Hamburger SV, D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07, W 9-0 @ Krieschow, W 2-1 v Bournemouth.

Eintracht Frankfurt are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 20 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v FC Augsburg, D 3-3 @ Union Berlin, W 11-0 @ SC St. Tönis, L 0-7 @ Brentford.

Eintracht Frankfurt hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FSV Mainz 05 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt.

The market prices FSV at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on FSV Mainz 05: a 2.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

توقّعك

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برو

The model forecast ميزة خاصة بإصدار برو.

النتائج المباشرة والإحصائيات والتعليق تكون دائمًا مجانية. نموذج الصندوق الزجاجي، الاحتمالات، الميزة مقابل السوق، والملف الكامل للمباراة، تُفتح في إصدار برو.

عرض الخطط

FSV Mainz 05

WWWDW13-3-4

مسجلة 3.25 · متلقاة 1.00 · شباك نظيفة 50% · كلا الفريقين يسجلان 40%

  • WخارجHamburger SV5-0
  • DأرضSC Paderborn 070-0
  • WخارجKrieschow9-0
  • WأرضBournemouth2-1
  • WأرضParis FC4-0

Eintracht Frankfurt

WLWDL9-5-6

مسجلة 2.80 · متلقاة 1.75 · شباك نظيفة 30% · كلا الفريقين يسجلان 65%

  • LأرضFC Augsburg1-4
  • DخارجUnion Berlin3-3
  • WخارجSC St. Tönis11-0
  • LخارجBrentford0-7
  • WخارجFSV Frankfurt5-1

المواجهات المباشرة

10 مباريات

FSV Mainz 05سجلEintracht Frankfurt
2
4
4 تعادلات

الأهداف

10-13

لكل

متوسط الأهداف

2.3

في المباراة

كلا الفريقين يسجل

60%

سجل كلاهما

أكثر من 2.5

40%

3+ أهداف

FSV Mainz 05

الأخيرة
WLDWLD
فوز 2أهداف 10-13

أكبر فوز 3-1

Eintracht Frankfurt

الأخيرة
LWDLWD
فوز 4أهداف 13-10

أكبر فوز 3-0

  • FSV Mainz 052-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Eintracht Frankfurt1-0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Eintracht Frankfurt1-3FSV Mainz 05
  • Eintracht Frankfurt1-0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Eintracht Frankfurt3-0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • FSV Mainz 052-2Eintracht Frankfurt
  • FSV Mainz 050-1Eintracht Frankfurt

المدربون

U. Fischer

Switzerland · 59

في المنصب منذ 2025 · 5 فرق تمت إدارتها

  • Union Berlin2018–2023
  • Basel2015–2017
  • Thun2013–2015
  • Zürich2010–2012

Adi Hutter

المدرب الرئيسي

في المنصب منذ 2026

تصدير القطعة

قطعة قابلة للمشاركة

بطاقة

MeisterIQ، مدخلات النموذج الأربعة، النموذج مقابل السوق، والهامش

التنسيق

فتح HD وبدون علامة تجارية
مشاركة

بيانات حقيقية فقط: النتائج الأخيرة، المواجهات المباشرة واحتمالات السوق. لا يتم عرض مخرجات النموذج للفرق التي ليس لديها سوابق Lemeister.