Where the market is wrong on Csakvar v Kazincbarcikai
Csakvar meet Kazincbarcikai in the NB II regular season - 5 at Tersztyanszky Odon Sportkozpont, Csakvar.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Csakvar on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Csakvar at 51%; double chance reads Csakvar or draw 66%, Kazincbarcikai or draw 64%.
Csakvar arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Kazincbarcikai, L 2-3 @ Szentlőrinc SE, W 2-0 v Kozarmisleny FC, L 1-2 v Nagykanizsai ULE.
Kazincbarcikai are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Csakvar, W 2-1 v Kozarmisleny FC, D 2-2 @ Gyirmot SE, W 3-1 v Fehérvár FC.
Kazincbarcikai hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Csakvar 0-2 Kazincbarcikai.
The market prices CSA at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Csakvar: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 69 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
