Where the market is wrong on Pirin Blagoevgrad v Fratria
Pirin Blagoevgrad meet Fratria in the Second League regular season - 10 at Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad.
Fratria rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Fratria, 68% against 13%. Attacking output favors Fratria on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.6 per match.
Pirin Blagoevgrad arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 1 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Rilski Sportist, L 1-2 v Fratria, L 0-3 @ Marek, L 0-3 v Ludogorets II.
Fratria are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Pirin Blagoevgrad, D 1-1 @ Ludogorets II, D 2-2 v Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, D 1-1 @ Hebar 1918.
Fratria hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-2 Fratria.
The market prices PIR at 5% implied. Our number sits apart on Pirin Blagoevgrad: a 10.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
