Where the market is wrong on Almeria v Celta de Vigo II
Almeria meet Celta de Vigo II in the Segunda División regular season - 6 at UD Almería Stadium, Almeria.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 60%. Attacking output favors Celta de Vigo II on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Almeria arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Cordoba, W 3-2 v Cadiz, L 0-1 @ Sabadell, L 0-1 @ Tenerife.
Celta de Vigo II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Eibar, W 2-0 @ AD Ceuta FC, L 1-2 v Castellón, W 4-2 v FC Andorra.
The market prices ALM at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Celta de Vigo II: a 20.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
