Where the market is wrong on Celta de Vigo II v Castellón
Celta de Vigo II meet Castellón in the Segunda División regular season - 3 at Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 63%. Attacking output favors Celta de Vigo II on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Celta de Vigo II arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Castellón, W 4-2 v FC Andorra, D 0-0 @ Cadiz, W 1-0 @ Vizela.
Castellón are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Celta de Vigo II, D 0-0 v Sabadell, W 1-0 @ Real Sociedad II, L 1-3 v Levante.
Castellón hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Celta de Vigo II 1-2 Castellón.
The market prices CEL at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Celta de Vigo II: a 14.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
