Eibar v Valladolid: the model read
Eibar meet Valladolid in the Segunda División regular season - 2 at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar.
Eibar rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1454. Recent form leans Eibar, 68% against 40%. Attacking output favors Eibar on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Eibar at 61%; double chance reads Eibar or draw 73%, Valladolid or draw 58%.
Eibar arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Valladolid, L 1-3 v Tenerife, D 1-1 @ Real Unión, W 5-0 v Arenas Getxo.
Valladolid are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Eibar, L 0-2 @ Mallorca, W 4-2 @ Sporting Gijon, W 3-0 @ Gimnástica Segoviana.
Eibar hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Eibar 1-0 Valladolid.
The market prices EIB at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Valladolid: a 2.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
