East Bengal II v Al Arabi: the model read
East Bengal II meet Al Arabi in the AFC Champions League Two preliminary round at Salt Lake Stadium, Kolkata. The model makes East Bengal II the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% EAS, 31% draw, 27% AL .
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans East Bengal II, 73% against 53%. Attacking output favors East Bengal II on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans East Bengal II at 61%; double chance reads East Bengal II or draw 73%, Al Arabi or draw 58%.
East Bengal II arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Inter Kashi, D 1-1 @ ATK Mohun Bagan, D 0-0 v Minerva Punjab, W 2-1 @ Mumbai City.
Al Arabi are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Erzurumspor FK, W 3-0 v Al Fahaheel, L 0-1 @ Al Salmiyah, L 2-3 @ Al Kuwait.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
