Where the market is wrong on Grom Nowy Staw v Polonia Środa
Grom Nowy Staw meet Polonia Środa in the III Liga - Group 2 group ii - 7.
Polonia Środa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1613 to 1482. Recent form leans Polonia Środa, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Grom Nowy Staw on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.1 per match.
Grom Nowy Staw arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 14 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: D 4-4 v Polonia Środa, W 4-2 @ Lech Poznań II, L 3-4 v Kluczevia Stargard, L 2-4 @ Wda Świecie.
Polonia Środa are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 18 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 4-4 @ Grom Nowy Staw, W 3-2 v Sandecja Nowy Sącz, W 4-3 v Gedania Gdansk, W 3-2 @ Lipno Stęszew.
The market prices GRO at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Grom Nowy Staw: a 10.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
