Where the market is wrong on Csikszereda v FCSB
Csikszereda meet FCSB in the Liga I regular season - 2 at Stadionul Municipal, Miercurea Ciuc. The model makes FCSB the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 33% CSI, 29% draw, 38% FCS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 57%. Attacking output favors FCSB on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans FCSB at 53%; double chance reads Csikszereda or draw 62%, FCSB or draw 67%.
Csikszereda arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Corvinul Hunedoara, L 1-3 @ NK Slaven Belupo, L 1-2 @ Zbrojovka Brno, W 2-0 @ Radnicki NIS.
FCSB are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Auda, W 2-0 v Arges Pitesti, L 0-4 @ Union St. Gilloise, W 2-1 @ Dinamo Bucuresti.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Csikszereda 1-0 FCSB.
The market prices CSI at 20% implied. Our number sits apart on Csikszereda: a 13.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
