Where the market is wrong on Loughgall v Armagh City
Loughgall meet Armagh City in the Championship regular season - 8 at Lakeview Park, Loughgall.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Loughgall, 48% against 20%. Attacking output favors Loughgall on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.7 per match.
Loughgall arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Armagh City, L 0-1 @ Queen's University, L 1-6 v Ballinamallard United, D 3-3 v Warrenpoint Town.
Armagh City are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Loughgall, L 3-5 v Institute, D 2-2 @ Newry City AFC, L 0-1 @ Moyola Park.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Loughgall 0-0 Armagh City.
The market prices LOU at 72% implied. Our number sits apart on Armagh City: a 11.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
