Where the market is wrong on Loughgall v Ballinamallard United
Loughgall meet Ballinamallard United in the Championship regular season - 6 at Lakeview Park, Loughgall.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Loughgall, 45% against 35%. Attacking output favors Loughgall on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Loughgall arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-6 v Ballinamallard United, D 3-3 v Warrenpoint Town, W 2-1 @ Ards, D 0-0 @ Institute.
Ballinamallard United are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 @ Loughgall, L 1-3 v Annagh United, W 2-1 v Dundela, L 0-2 @ Moyola Park.
Loughgall hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Loughgall 1-6 Ballinamallard United.
The market prices LOU at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Ballinamallard United: a 16.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
