Where the market is wrong on Northampton v Rotherham
Northampton meet Rotherham in the League Two regular season - 7 at Sixfields Stadium, Northampton.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Rotherham, 50% against 28%. Attacking output favors Rotherham on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Northampton arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Rotherham, L 0-2 @ Shrewsbury, W 1-0 v Newport County, D 1-1 v Crawley Town.
Rotherham are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ York, W 1-0 @ Northampton, D 3-3 v Salford City, L 0-1 @ Bristol Rovers.
Rotherham hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Northampton 0-1 Rotherham.
The market prices NOR at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Rotherham: a 5.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
