Where the market is wrong on Rodina Moskva v Spartak Moscow
Rodina Moskva meet Spartak Moscow in the Cup group stage - 4 at Arena Khimki, Khimki.
Spartak Moscow rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1466. Recent form leans Spartak Moscow, 70% against 43%. Attacking output favors Spartak Moscow on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Rodina Moskva arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ FK Partizan, D 1-1 v Rubin, L 1-2 @ Krylia Sovetov, L 0-2 @ Dinamo Makhachkala.
Spartak Moscow are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Fakel, W 3-0 v FC Rostov, L 1-2 @ Dynamo, W 3-1 v Rodina Moskva.
Spartak Moscow hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Spartak Moscow 3-1 Rodina Moskva.
The market prices ROD at 13% implied. Our number sits apart on Rodina Moskva: a 10.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
