Where the market is wrong on Dynamo v Akhmat
Dynamo meet Akhmat in the Cup group stage - 3 at VTB Arena, Moscow.
The baseline ratings are close, 1675 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dynamo, 72% against 60%. Attacking output favors Dynamo on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Dynamo arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Akhmat, W 1-0 @ Lokomotiv, W 3-1 v Rodina Moskva, L 0-1 v FC Krasnodar.
Akhmat are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Dynamo, D 3-3 v Krylia Sovetov, W 4-1 v FC Rostov, W 2-1 v Fakel.
Akhmat hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dynamo 3-0 Akhmat.
The market prices DYN at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Akhmat: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
