NJ/NY Gotham FC W v Kansas City W: the model read
NJ/NY Gotham FC W meet Kansas City W in the NWSL Women - Challenge Cup final. The model makes NJ/NY Gotham FC W the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% NJ/, 31% draw, 29% KAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans NJ/NY Gotham FC W, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors NJ/NY Gotham FC W on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans NJ/NY Gotham FC W at 59%; double chance reads NJ/NY Gotham FC W or draw 71%, Kansas City W or draw 59%.
NJ/NY Gotham FC W arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Portland Thorns W, W 3-2 v Seattle Reign FC W, W 1-0 v Washington Spirit W, W 3-1 @ Utah Royals W.
Kansas City W are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Boston Legacy W, D 2-2 v San Diego Wave W, L 0-3 @ Orlando Pride W, W 3-0 @ Denver Summit W.
Kansas City W hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: NJ/NY Gotham FC W 2-0 Kansas City W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
