Where the market is wrong on Larne v Glentoran
Larne meet Glentoran in the Premiership regular season - 5 at Inver Park, Larne.
The baseline ratings are close, 1547 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Larne, 56% against 43%. Attacking output favors Glentoran on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Larne arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Glentoran, L 0-3 v Lincoln Red Imps FC, W 2-0 @ Lincoln Red Imps FC, D 0-0 @ Coleraine FC.
Glentoran are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Larne, L 1-2 v Crusaders FC, W 2-0 @ Ballymena United, L 1-2 @ Linfield.
The market prices LAR at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Glentoran: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
