Where the market is wrong on Pohronie v Tatran Prešov
Pohronie meet Tatran Prešov in the 2. liga regular season - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Pohronie on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Pohronie at 55%; double chance reads Pohronie or draw 69%, Tatran Prešov or draw 62%.
Pohronie arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Tatran Prešov, L 0-2 @ Galanta, W 3-1 v MFK Bytča, L 1-2 @ Žilina II.
Tatran Prešov are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Pohronie, W 2-1 v Inter Bratislava, W 3-0 @ Družstevník Čirč, L 2-4 @ Petržalka.
The market prices POH at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Pohronie: a 11.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
