Where the market is wrong on Teplice v Zbrojovka Brno
Teplice meet Zbrojovka Brno in the Czech Liga regular season - 5 at AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1734, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Zbrojovka Brno, 82% against 65%. Attacking output favors Zbrojovka Brno on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Zbrojovka Brno at 64%; double chance reads Teplice or draw 54%, Zbrojovka Brno or draw 74%.
Teplice arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Křimice, L 0-2 v Zbrojovka Brno, L 1-4 @ Sparta Praha, D 5-5 v Plzen.
Zbrojovka Brno are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 16 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 10-0 @ Frýdlant, W 2-0 @ Teplice, L 0-1 v Slovan Liberec, D 1-1 @ Plzen.
Zbrojovka Brno hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Teplice 0-2 Zbrojovka Brno.
The market prices TEP at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Zbrojovka Brno: a 16.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
