Where the market is wrong on Mixco v Antigua GFC
Mixco meet Antigua GFC in the Liga Nacional regular season - 11.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Antigua GFC, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors Antigua GFC on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Mixco arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Antigua GFC, L 0-1 @ Malacateco, W 3-2 v Aurora, L 0-2 @ Deportivo San Pedro.
Antigua GFC are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Mixco, L 0-4 @ Xelajú, W 3-2 v Suchitepéquez, W 2-0 @ Malacateco.
Mixco hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mixco 3-1 Antigua GFC.
The market prices MIX at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Antigua GFC: a 5.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
