Where the market is wrong on Ruch Chorzów v Miedz Legnica
Ruch Chorzów meet Miedz Legnica in the I Liga regular season - 2 at Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski, undefined. The model makes Ruch Chorzów the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% RUC, 30% draw, 33% MIE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors Ruch Chorzów on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Ruch Chorzów at 53%; double chance reads Ruch Chorzów or draw 67%, Miedz Legnica or draw 63%.
Ruch Chorzów arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Nieciecza, L 1-2 @ Karviná, L 0-2 @ Wieczysta Kraków, W 1-0 v Śląsk Wrocław II.
Miedz Legnica are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Podbeskidzie, W 3-2 v Chojniczanka Chojnice, W 2-1 v Baník Ostrava, D 2-2 @ Piast Gliwice.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Miedz Legnica 1-2 Ruch Chorzów.
The market prices RUC at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
