Where the market is wrong on Peterhead v Montrose
Peterhead meet Montrose in the League One regular season - 6 at Balmoor, Peterhead.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Montrose on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Peterhead arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Clachnacuddin, L 0-3 v Montrose, D 1-1 @ Alloa Athletic, W 2-1 v Dundee II.
Montrose are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 14 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Dundee II, W 3-0 @ Peterhead, W 2-1 v Queen of the South, W 3-0 v Clyde.
The market prices PET at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Montrose: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
