Heart Of Midlothian v Dundee

Heart Of Midlothian meet Dundee in the Premiership regular season - 6 at Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 53%. Attacking output favors Heart Of Midlothian on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Heart Of Midlothian arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v ST Johnstone, D 1-1 @ Rapid Vienna, D 2-2 v Rapid Vienna, W 6-2 v Inverness CT.

Dundee are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Hibernian, W 2-0 @ Dundee Utd, L 0-3 @ Aberdeen, W 2-0 v Aberdeen.

The market prices HEA at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on Dundee: a 19.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.