Where the market is wrong on Ironi Tiberias v Hapoel Katamon
Ironi Tiberias meet Hapoel Katamon in the Ligat Ha'al regular season - 4 at Green Stadium, Nof HaGalil.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 53%. Attacking output favors Ironi Tiberias on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Ironi Tiberias arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Hapoel Katamon, W 2-1 @ Maccabi Petah Tikva, L 0-2 @ Ironi Kiryat Shmona, W 1-0 v Hapoel Petah Tikva.
Hapoel Katamon are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Ironi Tiberias, W 4-2 v Ironi Kiryat Shmona, L 0-1 @ Hapoel Petah Tikva, L 2-5 v Maccabi Tel Aviv.
The market prices IRO at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Ironi Tiberias: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
