Where the market is wrong on FC ST. Gallen v FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen meet FC Thun in the Super League regular season - 5 at Kybunpark, St. Gallen.
FC ST. Gallen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1420. Recent form leans FC ST. Gallen, 60% against 38%. Attacking output favors FC ST. Gallen on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.
FC ST. Gallen arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Grasshoppers, L 3-4 v FC Thun, L 2-3 v FC Nordsjaelland, L 0-1 @ FC Nordsjaelland.
FC Thun are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 12 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Lausanne, W 4-3 @ FC ST. Gallen, D 2-2 v Lech Poznan, L 0-7 @ Lech Poznan.
FC ST. Gallen hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC ST. Gallen 3-4 FC Thun.
The market prices FC at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Thun: a 8.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
