Where the market is wrong on Ironi Modi'in v Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Ironi Modi'in meet Maccabi Kiryat Gat in the Liga Leumit regular season - 3.
Maccabi Kiryat Gat rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1733 to 1443. Recent form leans Maccabi Kiryat Gat, 82% against 43%. Attacking output favors Maccabi Kiryat Gat on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.0 per match.
Ironi Modi'in arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Maccabi Kiryat Gat, W 4-1 @ Hapoel Kfar Saba, L 0-2 v Maccabi Herzliya, W 3-1 @ Ashdod.
Maccabi Kiryat Gat are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Ironi Modi'in, L 1-2 v Hapoel Rishon LeZion, W 2-0 @ Hapoel Acre, D 1-1 v Hapoel Ramat HaSharon.
The market prices IRO at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Maccabi Kiryat Gat: a 10.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
