Where the market is wrong on Kiryat Yam SC v Maccabi Bnei Raina
Kiryat Yam SC meet Maccabi Bnei Raina in the Liga Leumit regular season - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1444, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 39%. Attacking output favors Kiryat Yam SC on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Kiryat Yam SC at 61%; double chance reads Kiryat Yam SC or draw 73%, Maccabi Bnei Raina or draw 59%.
Kiryat Yam SC arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Maccabi Bnei Raina, W 6-2 @ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, L 0-2 v Maccabi Haifa, D 0-0 v Maccabi Petah Tikva.
Maccabi Bnei Raina are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Kiryat Yam SC, L 1-4 v Bnei Yehuda, L 1-4 v Maccabi Netanya, L 0-1 @ Ironi Tiberias.
Maccabi Bnei Raina hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kiryat Yam SC 0-1 Maccabi Bnei Raina.
The market prices KIR at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
