Where the market is wrong on Yverdon Sport v FC WIL 1900
Yverdon Sport meet FC WIL 1900 in the Challenge League regular season - 5 at Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Yverdon Sport, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Yverdon Sport on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 78%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans Yverdon Sport at 64%; double chance reads Yverdon Sport or draw 73%, FC WIL 1900 or draw 53%.
Yverdon Sport arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v FC WIL 1900, W 2-1 v FC Aarau, W 5-0 @ Terre Sainte, W 2-0 @ SC Kriens.
FC WIL 1900 are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Yverdon Sport, L 0-2 v SC Kriens, W 6-2 @ Rebstein, L 0-5 @ FC Winterthur.
The market prices YVE at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on FC WIL 1900: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
