FC Aarau v Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: the model read
FC Aarau meet Stade Lausanne-Ouchy in the Challenge League regular season - 2. The model makes FC Aarau the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% FC , 28% draw, 30% STA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Aarau, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors FC Aarau on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans FC Aarau at 58%; double chance reads FC Aarau or draw 70%, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw 59%.
FC Aarau arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Étoile Carouge, W 2-1 v Union Berlin, L 0-1 @ Austria Lustenau, L 1-3 v St. Gallen II.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Stade Nyonnais, W 3-1 v Servette II, W 2-1 @ FC Zurich, L 0-2 @ Servette FC.
FC Aarau hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Aarau 3-0 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
