Where the market is wrong on Rapperswil v FC WIL 1900
Rapperswil meet FC WIL 1900 in the Challenge League regular season - 1. The model makes Rapperswil the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% RAP, 28% draw, 34% FC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 48%. Attacking output favors Rapperswil on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 80%. Draw no bet leans Rapperswil at 52%; double chance reads Rapperswil or draw 66%, FC WIL 1900 or draw 62%.
Rapperswil arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Cham, D 1-1 @ FC Lugano, L 0-3 v FC Basel 1893, W 3-1 @ Freienbach.
FC WIL 1900 are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Brühl, L 0-2 v FC Luzern, W 3-2 v Grasshoppers, L 0-2 @ Austria Lustenau.
Rapperswil hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rapperswil 2-0 FC WIL 1900.
The market prices RAP at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on Rapperswil: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
