Where the market is wrong on Metalac GM v Semendrija 1924
Metalac GM meet Semendrija 1924 in the Prva Liga regular season - 4 at Stadion FK Metalac, Gornji Milanovac.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Semendrija 1924, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Semendrija 1924 on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Semendrija 1924 at 51%; double chance reads Metalac GM or draw 65%, Semendrija 1924 or draw 66%.
Metalac GM arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ FK Vozdovac, D 0-0 v Semendrija 1924, L 1-2 @ Napredak, L 2-4 v FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV.
Semendrija 1924 are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Metalac GM, W 4-1 v OFK Bor 1919, W 2-1 @ Grafičar, W 3-2 v Borac Cacak.
Semendrija 1924 hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Metalac GM 0-0 Semendrija 1924.
The market prices MET at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Metalac GM: a 7.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
