Radnik Surdulica v FK Crvena Zvezda

Radnik Surdulica meet FK Crvena Zvezda in the Super Liga regular season - 3 at EFBET Stadion, Surdulica. The model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 24% RAD, 28% draw, 48% FK .

FK Crvena Zvezda rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1492. Recent form leans FK Crvena Zvezda, 71% against 53%. Attacking output favors FK Crvena Zvezda on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans FK Crvena Zvezda at 67%; double chance reads Radnik Surdulica or draw 52%, FK Crvena Zvezda or draw 76%.

Radnik Surdulica arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ OFK Beograd, D 1-1 v Mladost Lucani, W 1-0 @ Novi Pazar, W 3-1 v Buducnost Podgorica.

FK Crvena Zvezda are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 15 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Vojvodina, W 4-0 @ Larne, W 5-0 v Macva, L 1-3 @ Zenit.

FK Crvena Zvezda hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Radnik Surdulica 0-0 FK Crvena Zvezda.

The market prices RAD at 12% implied. Our number sits apart on Radnik Surdulica: a 12.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.