Where the market is wrong on FK Partizan v IMT Novi Beograd
FK Partizan meet IMT Novi Beograd in the Super Liga regular season - 3 at Stadion Partizana, Belgrade. The model makes IMT Novi Beograd the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 32% FK , 33% draw, 34% IMT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1565, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 61%. Attacking output favors FK Partizan on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans IMT Novi Beograd at 52%; double chance reads FK Partizan or draw 66%, IMT Novi Beograd or draw 68%.
FK Partizan arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 15 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Macva, W 4-0 v UNA Strassen, D 2-2 @ Zemun, W 4-1 @ Nafta.
IMT Novi Beograd are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Zemun, W 1-0 @ Cukaricki, L 0-1 v Akhmat, L 0-1 @ Radnicki 1923.
FK Partizan hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 FK Partizan.
The market prices FK at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on IMT Novi Beograd: a 19.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
