Nice v Lille: the model read
Nice meet Lille in the Ligue 1 regular season - 5 at Allianz Riviera, Nice. The model makes Lille the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 25% NIC, 34% draw, 41% LIL.
Lille rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1431. Recent form leans Lille, 63% against 43%. Attacking output favors Lille on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 24%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans Lille at 62%; double chance reads Nice or draw 59%, Lille or draw 75%.
Nice arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Nimes, W 4-1 v Saint Etienne, D 0-0 @ Saint Etienne, L 1-3 @ Lens.
Lille are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v RAAL La Louvière, L 0-2 v Auxerre, W 1-0 @ Monaco, D 1-1 v Le Havre.
Nice hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lille 0-0 Nice.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
