Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse: the model read
Stade Brestois 29 meet Toulouse in the Ligue 1 regular season - 2 at Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 39%. Attacking output favors Stade Brestois 29 on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Stade Brestois 29 arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Toulouse, D 2-2 @ Le Mans, L 0-2 @ Nottingham Forest, D 2-2 v Venezia.
Toulouse are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Stade Brestois 29, L 0-2 v Lyon, L 1-2 v Hamburger SV, W 2-1 v Real Sociedad.
Stade Brestois 29 hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Stade Brestois 29 2-2 Toulouse.
The market broadly agrees with the model here, 36% implied on STA against our 36%. No meaningful edge. Discipline means passing on priced-in matches.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
