Le Havre v Monaco: the model read
Le Havre meet Monaco in the Ligue 1 regular season - 1. The model makes Monaco the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 27% LE , 29% draw, 44% MON.
Monaco rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1420. Recent form leans Monaco, 63% against 40%. Attacking output favors Monaco on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Monaco at 62%; double chance reads Le Havre or draw 56%, Monaco or draw 73%.
Le Havre arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Amiens, W 2-0 @ Lorient, L 0-1 v Marseille, D 1-1 @ Lille.
Monaco are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Saint-Priest, L 4-5 @ Strasbourg, L 0-1 v Lille, W 2-1 @ Metz.
Monaco hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Le Havre 0-0 Monaco.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
