Where the market is wrong on Clermont Foot v Sochaux
Clermont Foot meet Sochaux in the Ligue 2 regular season - 4 at Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand.
The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 47% against 55%. Attacking output favors Sochaux on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans Sochaux at 51%; double chance reads Clermont Foot or draw 67%, Sochaux or draw 68%.
Clermont Foot arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Sochaux, D 1-1 v Dijon, L 1-3 @ Saint Etienne, D 0-0 v Reims.
Sochaux are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Clermont Foot, W 1-0 v Guingamp, D 0-0 @ RED Star FC 93, L 0-3 v Saint Etienne.
The market prices CLE at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
