Where the market is wrong on MVV v Almere City FC
MVV meet Almere City FC in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 6 at De Geusselt, Maastricht.
Almere City FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1577 to 1443. Recent form leans Almere City FC, 58% against 43%. Attacking output favors Almere City FC on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.1 per match.
MVV arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Almere City FC, D 1-1 v Roda, W 2-1 @ Jong AZ, L 0-6 @ KRC Genk II.
Almere City FC are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ MVV, L 0-1 v Jong Ajax, W 4-1 @ De Graafschap, W 3-0 @ Vitesse.
The market prices MVV at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Almere City FC: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 70 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
