Inter San Carlos v Deportivo Saprissa

Inter San Carlos meet Deportivo Saprissa in the Primera División apertura - 5 at Estadio de Pital, Pital.

The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 71% against 70%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Saprissa on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Saprissa at 52%; double chance reads Inter San Carlos or draw 65%, Deportivo Saprissa or draw 67%.

Inter San Carlos arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Sporting San Jose, W 1-0 v Deportivo Saprissa, W 1-0 @ Perez Zeledon, W 2-0 v San Carlos.

Deportivo Saprissa are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ CD Olimpia, L 0-1 @ Inter San Carlos, W 3-2 v CS Cartagines, W 3-0 v Mixco.

Inter San Carlos hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Inter San Carlos 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa.

The market prices INT at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on Inter San Carlos: a 13.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.